Settlement Quotes, LLC's Andrew Cravenho makes 5 "optimistic" predictions for the structured settlement factoring industry for 2011 . He opines that:
- Several structured settlement factoring companies will go out of business.
- Courts will deny more transfers.
- Legislation will become stricter.
- Institutional money will be favored over private money.
- Rates will increase, structured settlements will be worth less (i.e. the amount of cash sellers can expect to receive will be less- those who continue to hold structured settlements will not suffer a drop in payments as the result of any rate increase.
Cravenho "believes rates will increase to a point where 30-50% of cases will be either turned away by factoring companies or judges will deny them due to the best interest standard not being met. Structured settlement annuities are priced to investors at 2 times the rate of other comparable financial products such as a treasury bond. As the treasury bond increases with inflation, structured settlements will soon have investor rates over 10% for the first time since the Bank of the Internet fiasco".
The latter refers to what this author understands as a period of time during the financial crisis where Bank of The Internet turned off the funding spigot to a factoring company/broker, leaving the factoring company/ broker scrambling for alternative financing. Purportedly they wre unable to obtain as favorable discount rates as they had promised certain sellers of structured settlement payment rights, and would not let the sellers off the hook.
He goes on to say " with rates above 10%, annuitants in North Carolina and New York will not be able to cash out their structured settlement payments. In order to have most structured settlement factoring transactions approved, companies will take a cut in commissions in order to have the transaction meet the best interest standard. With high advertising costs, business overhead, less product and less income, some companies may have to close up shop".
Particularly troublesome for some, implies Cravenho, is the potential supply clause penalties purportedly in institutional financing arrangements which could put a squeeze on some companies
Is structured settlement factoring, an industry in contraction?
Read Andrew Cravenho's article here
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