Stat 1
The S&P Case-Shiller index of home values has fallen to where it was in 2002.
Current national savings rate 5.7%, highest since February 1995.
Nearly 6% of fixed-rate mortgages to borrowers with good credit were in the foreclosure process according to the Mortgage Bankers Association and 12% of homeowners with a mortgage are behind on their payments or in foreclosure.
Stat Source: Bob Leclair's Finance and Markets Newsletter 6.6.2009
Stat 2
The compound annual return on the S & P 500 for the ten-year period ending in 2008 was -1.37%.
Stat Source: Bob Leclair's Finance and Markets Newsletter 6.6.2009
Comment: Sound like a place for risk averse (by mind or necessity) tort victims to keep their money? Somewhere across America someone may be saying "You invested MY money for 10 years in an S&P 500 mutual fund and all I got was this stinking amount less"?
Comment: It is interesting to observe that every day since they have been offered in January 2003 the daily yield on 10 Year Treasury Inflation Protection Securities (TIPS) has exceeded the above. Source: Federal Reserve Board H15 Release
Comment: Structured settlements (whether funded through annuities or TIPS held to maturity), deliver a steady boring stream of payments free of income taxes and volatility. Ho Hum Ho Hum.
Let's go back in time to suggest that this IS NOT a fluke...
A study was done of Historical Rates of Return (1979-1995)
T-BILL INCOME TAX FREE STRUCTURED
RATE MUNI SETTLEMENT
YEAR (3 MTH) (AAA-GO) RATE
1979 10.07% 5.92% 7.26%
1980 11.43% 7.85% 9.16%
1981 14.03% 10.43% 10.16%
1982 10.61% 10.88% 11.54%
1983 8.61% 8.80% 10.28%
1984 9.52% 9.61% 11.70%
1985 7.47% 8.60% 10.56%
1986 5.97% 6.95% 7.78%
1987 5.78% 7.14% 8.62%
1988 6.67% 7.39% 8.94%
1989 8.11% 7.00% 8.65%
1990 7.50% 6.96% 8.55%
1991 5.38% 6.77% 7.96%
1992 3.43% 6.35% 7.26%
1993 3.00% 5.57% 6.19%
1994 4.29% 7.09% 7.62%
1995 5.64% 6.18% 6.61%
Average 7.50% 7.62% 8.76%
Standard
Deviation 2.88% 1.50% 1.59%
Source: "Structured Settlements and The Interest Rate Switch" by J. Thomas Romans and Frederick G Floss Journal of Forensics Economics , Vol. 12 1999 p57, who credit the Federal Reserve Bulletin and TSSC, St. Petersburg, FL for the information in the table.
Comment: Structured settlement annuity yield compared favorably with Treasuries and AAA General Obligation Municipals over the same time period.
Comments